Predictions about Kepler

Article: Impressions of Kepler
By: Alex L. (alex.delete@this.hotmail.com), April 20, 2012 3:41 pm
Room: Moderated Discussions
Russell Baker on 4/18/12 wrote:
> 1. Nvidia will release a Tesla board based on GK104 that will not have ECC for both DRAM and on-chip SRAM.

Tesla sales are hundreds of millions of dollars per year. The cost of making a derivative of GK104 with ECC for both DRAM and on-chip SRAM is under ten million dollars, assuming ECC is the only addition. The management of Nvidia would have to be a bunch of idiots to sell a Tesla board without ECC for both DRAM and on-chip SRAM. I don't think the management of Nvidia is a bunch of idiots so I think this prediction is wrong.

> 2. Someone in the financial industry will use that Tesla board for Black-Scholes
> option pricing or some other calculation used for algorithmic trading.
>
> 3. A soft error will occur in the on-chip SRAM of the Tesla board which will cause
> a stock market "flash crash" just like when the Dow dropped 600 points in 5 minutes
> on May 6, 2010 due to algorithmic trading.

These predictions are plausible if prediction 1 is true but I think prediction 1 is wrong.

> 4. Nvidia will say "We're so sorry. We never imagined this could happen."

About 18 years ago, Intel had a bug in the floating point divide instruction of their Pentium microprocessor. Although Intel's bug was a hard error, the situation for the end-user was similar in that the chip occasionally produced the wrong answer. Intel was in denial for months. They claimed errors would be very rare. Most customers didn't want a computing chip that made any errors. Eventually, Intel took a $475M charge against earnings and admitted that they screwed up.
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TopicPosted ByDate
First impressions of Nvidia's KeplerDavid Kanter2012/03/22 06:00 PM
  First impressions of Nvidia's Keplerfellix2012/03/23 01:25 AM
  First impressions of Nvidia's KeplerMike2012/03/23 08:24 AM
    First impressions of Nvidia's KeplerDavid Kanter2012/03/23 09:02 AM
      First impressions of Nvidia's KeplerMike2012/03/23 09:34 AM
        First impressions of Nvidia's KeplerDavid Kanter2012/03/23 12:15 PM
      First impressions of Nvidia's Kepleranon2012/03/23 11:37 AM
        I use ALUsMark Roulo2012/03/23 12:59 PM
          I use ALUsanon2012/03/23 02:07 PM
            I use ALUsMark Roulo2012/03/23 03:12 PM
              I use ALUsanon2012/03/23 04:08 PM
        Makes no sense...EduardoS2012/03/23 05:30 PM
          Makes no sense...anon2012/03/23 06:14 PM
            Makes no sense...David Kanter2012/03/25 10:45 AM
          Makes no sense...fellix2012/03/24 05:41 AM
  Comparing against the 560Cat2012/03/26 08:51 AM
    Comparing against the 560David Kanter2012/03/26 09:24 AM
  Shuffle InstructionMartin2012/03/27 06:17 AM
    Shuffle InstructionDavid Kanter2012/03/27 08:47 AM
      Shuffle InstructionMartin2012/03/27 10:52 AM
        .msi unarchiver?hobold2012/03/28 10:20 AM
          .msi unarchiver?Joe2012/03/28 12:55 PM
          .msi unarchiver?Martin2012/03/29 12:53 AM
      Shuffle InstructionRohit2012/03/27 12:04 PM
  Workgroups vs. warps/wavefrontsAndrew McDonald2012/03/28 02:31 PM
    Workgroups vs. warps/wavefrontsDavid Kanter2012/03/28 03:14 PM
      Workgroups vs. warps/wavefrontsRohit2012/03/28 08:53 PM
        Workgroups vs. warps/wavefrontsLee Howes2012/03/29 06:38 AM
          ThreadsDavid Kanter2012/04/09 11:36 AM
    Fixed (NT)David Kanter2012/04/09 11:37 AM
  Heterogeneous GPUsOscar Eddington2012/03/28 07:41 PM
    Heterogeneous GPUsGary M.2012/04/06 04:35 PM
      Different shader coresDavid Kanter2012/04/09 11:29 AM
        Different shader coresTom2012/04/11 02:36 PM
          Nope...David Kanter2012/04/12 01:10 AM
            Nope...Tom2012/04/13 03:58 PM
              Nope...David Kanter2012/04/14 12:24 PM
                Load balancing between Tesla and graphics boardsTom2012/04/15 06:11 PM
                  Load balancing between Tesla and graphics boardsDavid Kanter2012/04/15 10:11 PM
                    Load balancing between Tesla and graphics boardsAnon2012/04/16 05:05 PM
  Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Richard G.2012/04/03 07:39 PM
    Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?anon2012/04/04 03:11 AM
      Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Soupdragon2012/04/04 05:24 AM
        Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Groo2012/04/04 08:41 AM
      Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Michael S2012/04/04 06:24 AM
      Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Alexko2012/04/04 08:43 AM
        Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?EduardoS2012/04/04 03:37 PM
          Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?David Kanter2012/04/09 02:51 PM
    Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Ricardo B2012/04/04 12:57 PM
    Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Tom2012/04/04 05:36 PM
      Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?Brett2012/04/04 06:55 PM
      Why isn't AMD hardware used for GPU computing?David Kanter2012/04/09 02:55 PM
  Predictions about KeplerRussell Baker2012/04/18 02:09 PM
    Predictions about Kepler01000102012/04/18 03:14 PM
      Predictions about KeplerEduardoS2012/04/18 03:38 PM
        Predictions about KeplerAnon2012/04/18 08:48 PM
          Predictions about KeplerEduardoS2012/04/19 03:03 PM
            Predictions about KeplerMeeps2012/04/19 03:39 PM
      Predictions about KeplerJohn P.2012/04/18 06:13 PM
      Predictions about KeplerFoo_2012/04/19 12:15 PM
        Predictions about KeplerEduardoS2012/04/19 03:07 PM
    Predictions about KeplerGroo2012/04/19 09:13 AM
      Predictions about Kepleranon2012/04/19 03:26 PM
        Predictions about KeplerGroo2012/04/20 08:01 AM
    Predictions about KeplerAlex L.2012/04/20 03:41 PM
      Predictions about KeplerAnon2012/04/21 09:34 AM
        Predictions about Keplermpx2012/04/21 11:23 PM
          Predictions about Keplerac2012/04/22 01:49 AM
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