well written indeed

Article: The Battle in 64 bit Land, 2003 and Beyond
By: hobold (hobold.delete@this.informatik.uni-bremen.de), February 3, 2003 7:41 am
Room: Moderated Discussions
David Kanter (dkanter@realworldtech.com) on 2/2/03 wrote:
---------------------------
>As of 1:42am, CST, Paul DeMone's new article, The Battle in 64 bit Land, 2003 and
>Beyond is now up. It's a great read, and I hope everyone enjoys it as much as I did.
>
I bet his fellow Intel shareholders will enjoy it a lot ...

But first, credit where credit is due. Paul has done great
work as usual: the article is complete, detailed, based on
sound data, and very well written.

However, it is not unbiased. The bias is subtle, though,
and I don't want the following observations to be regarded
as an accusation.

Observation 1: the author is very selective when giving
benefit of doubt to anyone. It is actually one of his
strong points to always stick to hard facts. He breaks his
own rule when he speculates about Intel's failure to reach
their own projected frequency target for Itanium-2.

Observation 2: the author is very careful not to spread
Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt. It is actually one of his
strong points to always stick to hard facts. He breaks his
own rule a few times, for instance when he conjures up
images of an agonizing AMD.

Observation 3: the author sometimes uses very different
presentations for very comparable situations. For example
he goes to great length to explain conceptual limitations
of IBM's Power4 core, which he explicitly relates to
limitations of VLIW architectures. When he does present
VLIW processors as sold by Intel, though, he merely names
in passing their much stricter conceptual limitation of
being in-order-execution designs.

Another example is the paragraph where the author laudes
the Alpha design team (now employed at Intel as he
mentions) and muses about the mythical improvements these
demigods of the semiconductor world will bring to future
implementations of Intel's 64 bit architecture. The other
half of ex-Alpha designers, who happen to work at AMD, are
doomed to oblivion.

Yet another example can be seen when the author talks about
the practice of leveraging existing chip designs for future
derivatives. Both HP and SGI are presented as slow and
undedicated, because they were using the same basic CPU
core design for a sequence of products. The author even
subtlely ridicules SGI by calling this timespan 'half a
decade'. Intel, however, is not at all blamed for the fact
that their roadmap uses the Itanium-2 core for four years.

I could make a few more minor points, but those would have
to be about things so subtle as to be virtually
nonexistant. As I said, this is not an accusation; I know
very well how hard it is to notice and avoid one's own
bias (the few who know me can tell I am biased as well to
PowerPC in general and Motorola's chips in particular).

I would expect, though, that the author's credibility
would be helped a lot if he'd choose to mention his
interest in Intel stock value in some legible footnote.
Especially considering the reach of publications like RWT.
Otherwise, more suspicious people than me might devalue
the author's competent writings and regard them merely as
elaborate pieces of Intel marketing.

Holger Bettag
< Previous Post in ThreadNext Post in Thread >
TopicPosted ByDate
New Article AvailableDavid Kanter2003/02/02 02:44 AM
  Excellent Article, Paul (NT)Arcadian2003/02/02 04:57 PM
  Yikes! Slashdotted!Dean Kent2003/02/02 07:53 PM
    Yikes! Slashdotted!Singh, S.R.2003/02/03 12:38 AM
      Yikes! Slashdotted!Dean Kent2003/02/03 12:53 AM
        Yikes! Slashdotted!Anonymous2003/02/03 07:03 AM
          Yikes! Slashdotted!Dean Kent2003/02/03 09:13 AM
  FYI, Paul:Peter Gerassimoff2003/02/03 01:38 AM
    FYI, Paul:Bill Todd2003/02/03 03:18 AM
      FYI, Paul:Marc M.2003/02/03 10:08 AM
        Opteron SPEC PerformanceArcadian2003/02/03 12:15 PM
          Opteron SPEC PerformanceMarc M.2003/02/03 12:18 PM
      i want to see those links pls!! (NT)waitressInGaza2003/02/03 01:15 PM
        i want to see those links pls!! (NT)José Javier Zarate2003/02/05 09:23 AM
          i want to see those links pls!! (NT)waitressInGaza2003/02/05 02:50 PM
            i want to see those links pls!! (NT)tecate2003/02/05 05:09 PM
              gender should be irrelevantwaitressInGaza2003/02/05 06:36 PM
                gender should be irrelevantDean Kent2003/02/05 07:03 PM
                gender should be irrelevanttecate2003/02/05 09:27 PM
                  well it is all about your viewpointwaitressInGaza2003/02/06 12:44 AM
                    well it is all about your viewpointdoriangrey2003/02/07 12:39 AM
                Please be a girl. :pNIKOLAS2003/02/06 06:28 AM
    FYI, Paul:Paul DeMone2003/02/03 08:43 AM
  larger cache for POWER4+?Anil Maliyekkel2003/02/03 05:08 AM
    larger cache for POWER4+?Thu Nguyen2003/02/03 06:35 AM
  well written indeedhobold2003/02/03 07:41 AM
    well written indeedtecate2003/02/03 09:05 AM
      well written indeedhobold2003/02/03 09:12 AM
    well written indeedPaul DeMone2003/02/03 09:15 AM
      well written indeedhobold2003/02/03 12:04 PM
        well written indeedPaul DeMone2003/02/03 12:58 PM
          about Jim KellerMarc M.2003/02/03 01:50 PM
            about Jim KellerPaul DeMone2003/02/03 02:22 PM
              Nope but will now (NT)Marc M.2003/02/03 02:50 PM
              patent info...Marc M.2003/02/03 02:52 PM
              about the article...Dean Kent2003/02/03 04:49 PM
              Er, I just have to point something out.Anonymous2003/02/04 10:19 PM
                Next time check the date.Paul DeMone2003/02/05 01:10 AM
                  Yes, I know it was written in 2000.Anonymous2003/02/05 12:42 PM
                    Yes, I know it was written in 2000.Paul DeMone2003/02/05 01:20 PM
              about Jim KellerAlejandro G. Belluscio2003/02/09 01:09 PM
                about Jim KellerDean Kent2003/02/09 01:40 PM
                  about Jim KellerPaul DeMone2003/02/09 02:00 PM
                  about Jim KellerDavid Wang2003/02/09 02:18 PM
                    about Jim KellerPaul DeMone2003/02/09 03:47 PM
                  about Jim KellerInterested in Illinois2003/02/10 11:11 AM
                    about Jim KellerDean Kent2003/02/10 12:06 PM
                      about Jim KellerAlejandro Belluscio2003/02/11 06:53 PM
                        about Jim KellerDean Kent2003/02/11 09:52 PM
                          about Jim KellerAlejandro Belluscio2003/02/12 11:06 AM
                            about Jim KellerInterested in Illinois2003/02/13 04:19 PM
                        about Jim KellerInterested in Illinois2003/02/11 11:35 PM
                          about Jim KellerDavid Kanter2003/02/12 12:24 AM
                          Taxation systemsAlejandro Belluscio2003/02/12 10:54 AM
                            Taxation systemsInterested in Illinois2003/02/13 07:23 AM
                              Taxation systemsAlejandro Bellusco2003/02/13 10:53 AM
                                Taxation systemsInterested in Illinois2003/02/13 03:47 PM
                                  Taxation systemsAleajdnro G. Belluscio2003/02/13 05:56 PM
                                    Taxation systemsJouni Osmala2003/02/14 08:03 AM
                                      Taxation systemsAlejandro G. Belluscio2003/02/14 06:13 PM
                                  Taxation systemsDavid Kanter2003/02/15 12:18 AM
                                    Taxation systemsAlejandro Belluscio2003/02/15 08:36 AM
          well written indeedhobold2003/02/03 02:40 PM
          E8870 ChipsetJosé Javier Zarate2003/02/04 03:19 PM
            E8870 ChipsetArcadian2003/02/05 01:54 AM
              E8870 ChipsetJosé Javier Zarate2003/02/05 09:13 AM
                E8870 ChipsetArcadian2003/02/05 12:49 PM
      Minor questionJosé Javier Zarate2003/02/04 03:24 PM
    well written indeedDean Kent2003/02/03 09:18 AM
      well written indeedhobold2003/02/03 09:36 AM
        well written indeedDean Kent2003/02/03 10:33 AM
          hear hear...Marc M.2003/02/03 12:16 PM
          well written indeedhobold2003/02/03 03:02 PM
            well written indeedDean Kent2003/02/03 04:48 PM
              well written indeedhobold2003/02/04 01:56 PM
    well written indeedMarc M.2003/02/03 10:19 AM
      BTW Paul, it was VERY well written... BUT... =)Marc M.2003/02/03 10:25 AM
        Ditto (NT)William L.2003/02/10 08:28 PM
  New Article AvailableJS2003/02/05 02:09 AM
  Changes in MPU design methodologies?Richard Stacpoole2003/02/06 05:46 AM
    Changes in MPU design methodologies?Paul DeMone2003/02/06 10:47 AM
      Changes in MPU design methodologies?doriangrey2003/02/07 12:41 AM
      Changes in MPU design methodologies?William L.2003/02/10 08:34 PM
        Changes in MPU design methodologies?Singh, S.R.2003/02/10 10:34 PM
          Watch thisSingh, S.R.2003/02/10 10:42 PM
  excellent article, just a nit or twomulp2003/02/16 12:11 AM
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