Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStation

By: wumpus (lost.delete@this.in.a.cave), April 17, 2019 12:13 pm
Room: Moderated Discussions
anon (spam.delete.delete.delete@this.this.this.spam.com) on April 17, 2019 9:44 am wrote:
> wumpus (lost.delete@this.in.a.cave) on April 17, 2019 9:24 am wrote:
> > NoSpammer (no.delete@this.spam.com) on April 17, 2019 3:50 am wrote:
> > > sleep (sleep.delete@this.sogetthis.com) on April 16, 2019 11:04 pm wrote:
> > > > https://www.wired.com/story/exclusive-sony-next-gen-console/
> > >
> > > I don't think you need to know much about games to figure out the reason.
> > >
> > > Fastest mainstream 7200 RPM hard disks nowadays give you around 150 MB/s. PS5 will likely have
> > > 12GB+ of RAM. So that's 80 seconds to load game assets. This is truly 8-bit age loading time. Replace
> > > with SSD on SATA - faster, but still way too slow. Consider that down the road say in 3 years (or
> > > even sooner) gaming experience will be compared to a new PC with a fast NVMe SSD. If you want to
> > > sell the "ultimate" gaming device for a long time you want to be prepared for that.
> > >
> > > So it makes perfect sense to include 256-512 GB of really
> > > fast SSD storage using the fastest available interface,
> > > and even for secondary storage extension option it is more future proof to have NVMe instead of SATA.
> >
> > The flip side of that is that multiple levels of 12GB+ will eat up storage. From what I've heard, current
> > PS4 owners go straight to the 2TB storage limit. Assuming that they are dealing with ~20 second load
> > times [sounds slightly high], that implies that they will want at least 8TB of storage in a PS5.
> >
> > I'd go so far as to claim that as long as you have that 256-512
> > sufficiently high speed SSD (for loading assets
> > of recently played games), 8TB of spinning storage is *more*
> > "future proof" than 2TB of arbitrarily fast SSD.
> > On the other hand, plenty of PS5 buyers are too young to think ahead and 2TB of SSD might sell better.
> >
>
> I'd look at this from a different perspective. There will at the very least be 1 TB version
> or it would be a downgrade. I think it's safe to assume that there will b a 2 TB version.
> Think about what a 2 TB NVMe SSD that's actually faster than a SATA SSD (so not just a shitty 300 MB/s
> 20k IOPS SSD with NVMe tacked on) costs. You can't spend >200$ on storage for a 400$ console.
> Similarly I don't think it'll be 8 TB HDD + SSD.
>
> I'm not sure how 20 second load times imply 8 TB capacity are needed, mind
> explaining that part again? I'm pretty sure I'm missing something.
>

The point was to compare a current "~20 second load time" against a hypothetical "80 second load time" that was used to declare SATA (and especially rotating hard drives) dead. If current load times are 20 seconds and you are worried about them increasing by a factor of four thanks to bandwidth, you also need to be concerned about needing four times as much storage. The Wired article mentioned that Red Dead Redemption 2 took up ~100GB of space. If PS5 developers decide to load up even more assets (I can't imagine them not doing so, although the speed of delivery might be an issue) storage will be critical.

It all comes down to the ratio of the cost of rotating storage vs. flash storage, presumably next year or possibly later. Flash seems to be cycling low, but I wouldn't count on flash to remain as cheap (nor would Sony get contracts based on historically low prices) by 2020-2021. But it is still possible that rotating storage might simply be priced out of a console and entirely replaced by flash (I'm more or less ignoring 2.5" prices: they won't provide the storage for the cost).

I'd expect to hear plenty from Google about how "your games reside in the cloud. Why not play them there instead of continually downloading them to your console", especially if the games become significantly larger than the storage provided in a PS5. Personally, such things just make DRM-free gog.com more appealing (but I don't pretend to be a good example of the market the industry cares about).
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Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationsleep2019/04/16 11:04 PM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDoug S2019/04/17 12:20 AM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAnon2019/04/17 01:18 AM
    Competing with streaming Anon2019/04/17 01:20 AM
      Competing with streaming David Hess2019/04/20 07:17 PM
        Competing with streaming Jukka Larja2019/04/20 09:23 PM
        Competing with streaming Anne O. Nymous2019/04/21 04:27 AM
        Competing with streaming Anne O. Nymous2019/04/21 04:28 AM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAndrew Clough2019/04/17 05:33 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/17 09:08 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAndrew Clough2019/04/17 10:21 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 07:29 PM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationblue2019/04/20 08:29 PM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:29 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationBlue2019/04/21 03:25 AM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/21 07:45 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationpgerassi2019/04/21 06:56 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/21 09:18 PM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationpgerassi2019/04/22 08:33 AM
                          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/22 09:54 AM
                            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationpgerassi2019/04/22 11:45 PM
                              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/23 07:36 AM
                                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/23 08:06 AM
                                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/23 11:32 AM
                                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/28 05:46 PM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanother-anon2019/04/17 11:10 AM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 07:23 PM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:32 PM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationNoSpammer2019/04/17 03:50 AM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/17 09:24 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/17 09:44 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDoug S2019/04/17 10:28 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 07:36 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 08:55 AM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 11:24 AM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationaaron spink2019/04/18 11:42 AM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 12:07 PM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 02:32 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 03:32 PM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 03:41 PM
                          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/19 01:53 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:14 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:42 PM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/28 05:52 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationPiedPiper2019/04/18 07:33 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/19 02:03 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/19 06:50 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationaaron spink2019/04/19 07:25 AM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 08:40 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationjames2019/04/18 10:13 AM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 11:39 AM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationaaron spink2019/04/18 11:46 AM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 03:22 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:34 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:48 PM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDoug S2019/04/18 02:33 PM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationsleep2019/04/18 06:38 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:27 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationsleep2019/04/21 03:07 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/28 05:54 PM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/17 11:48 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 07:46 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 09:05 AM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 11:51 AM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 02:50 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 03:16 PM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 03:36 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/19 01:57 AM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 02:18 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/17 12:13 PM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 08:07 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 03:03 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/19 07:40 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 08:29 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/19 05:38 PM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationSimon Farnsworth2019/04/20 02:02 AM
        Why are you assuming it will even have an optical drive?Doug S2019/04/19 10:53 AM
          Why are you assuming it will even have an optical drive?Jukka Larja2019/04/19 12:19 PM
            Why are you assuming it will even have an optical drive?David Hess2019/04/20 08:45 PM
          the source article...blue2019/04/20 05:50 AM
            the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 07:29 AM
              the source article...wumpus2019/04/20 08:48 AM
                the source article...aaron spink2019/04/20 08:51 AM
                  the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 11:47 AM
              the source article...Groo2019/04/20 09:36 AM
                the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 12:08 PM
                  the source article...Groo2019/04/20 12:37 PM
                    the source article...Doug S2019/04/21 12:11 AM
                      the source article...Doug S2019/04/21 12:33 AM
                      the source article...Blue2019/04/21 03:30 AM
                        the source article...Doug S2019/04/21 10:08 AM
                          the source article...blue2019/04/23 12:36 AM
                            the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/23 08:27 AM
                              the source article...Brett2019/04/23 11:22 AM
                                the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/23 11:43 AM
                              the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/23 11:55 AM
                                the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/24 01:15 PM
                                  the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/25 05:53 AM
                                    the source article...none2019/04/25 06:14 AM
                                      the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/25 11:32 AM
                                    the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/25 07:06 AM
                                      the source article...anon2019/04/25 09:00 AM
                                        the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/25 12:12 PM
                                          the source article...anon2019/04/26 11:27 AM
                                      the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/25 11:40 AM
                                        the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/25 12:08 PM
                            the source article...Doug S2019/04/23 10:33 AM
                  the source article...David Hess2019/04/20 08:51 PM
                    the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 10:00 PM
                  the source article...gallier22019/04/24 12:01 AM
                    the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/24 05:25 AM
                the source article...David Hess2019/04/20 08:49 PM
                  the source article...Groo2019/04/21 07:41 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:19 PM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 10:15 PM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJose2019/04/17 10:00 PM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJose2019/04/18 03:33 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationdmcq2019/04/18 05:30 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJose2019/04/18 10:41 PM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 09:06 PM
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