Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStation

By: Jukka Larja (roskakori2006.delete@this.gmail.com), April 19, 2019 3:03 am
Room: Moderated Discussions
wumpus (lost.delete@this.in.a.cave) on April 17, 2019 9:24 am wrote:

> I'd go so far as to claim that as long as you have that 256-512 sufficiently high speed SSD (for loading assets
> of recently played games), 8TB of spinning storage is *more* "future proof" than 2TB of arbitrarily fast SSD.
> On the other hand, plenty of PS5 buyers are too young to think ahead and 2TB of SSD might sell better.

I don't see Sony going with cache SSD + internal HDD in any situation. They already mandate certain optimizations and division of assets so that user can start playing the game before it has been fully downloaded, copied, or installed to HDD (downloading or copying from BD and installation will continue in the background. Rules about how far the player must be able to progress after the initial smallish installation before more data is needed are vague, however). If they want, they can already throw out parts of the games but still keep them installed so that a user can launch any time they want.

What I think they will do, will be to still support adding an external HDD. It probably can't be used to play games directly, but it can act as a download cache, so that once downloaded games won't need to be downloaded again. Mind you, very few gamers play several, hundred GB AAA games at the same time. Those few who will, may be sold a more expensive model with twice the SSD.

I also don't much believe in 500 GB games, simply because that would require ten BD disks (or 5 UHD BD) and insane installation procedure (just think about maximum BD read speed). Couple of disks at most and maybe some high-resolution texture pack for people paying the monthly fee of PS+ or whatever.

All considered, I don't see even 512 GB SSD (with support for USB 3 HDD) a problem for standard model on launch, if the price of NAND is too high for more. For most gamers it won't be much different from 1 TB model, at least initially. There will be few games available (not counting the PS4 games of course), most of them won't be 100 GB behemoths, and most of them won't interest the particular gamer.

> - no idea if/how developers will optimize game layout after it becomes a maze of patches.
> Presumably assets won't often be patched, but I've seen some disasters on more heavily
> updated games (even before they could reasonably expect players to have SSDs).

Developers can't presume that the game files are going to be in certain, non-fragmented order on hard drive. One of the requirements the games must pass is working acceptably on slow-speed HDD mode, which is ridiculously slow (and the "high speed" baseline is connected via USB-SATA bridge, so not exactly fast either). Most of the game data is made of large things like textures and models, and when you move from SD to HD to 4k, the things that grow are those already large things.

If you have some inherently small stuff, like shaders, scripts, localizations (texts) or some metadata, you'll deal with them separately. SSD could make it possible to forgo that step, but since that would be catastrophic for anything HDD based (or even for bad SSDs), I can't see that happen any time soon.

I'm pretty sure that PS4 FS (whatever it is) is a low-fragmentation one, though. There's no need to optimize for millions of files like on PCs, so why not?

-JLarja
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Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationsleep2019/04/16 11:04 PM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDoug S2019/04/17 12:20 AM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAnon2019/04/17 01:18 AM
    Competing with streaming Anon2019/04/17 01:20 AM
      Competing with streaming David Hess2019/04/20 07:17 PM
        Competing with streaming Jukka Larja2019/04/20 09:23 PM
        Competing with streaming Anne O. Nymous2019/04/21 04:27 AM
        Competing with streaming Anne O. Nymous2019/04/21 04:28 AM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAndrew Clough2019/04/17 05:33 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/17 09:08 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAndrew Clough2019/04/17 10:21 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 07:29 PM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationblue2019/04/20 08:29 PM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:29 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationBlue2019/04/21 03:25 AM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/21 07:45 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationpgerassi2019/04/21 06:56 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/21 09:18 PM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationpgerassi2019/04/22 08:33 AM
                          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/22 09:54 AM
                            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationpgerassi2019/04/22 11:45 PM
                              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/23 07:36 AM
                                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/23 08:06 AM
                                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/23 11:32 AM
                                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/28 05:46 PM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanother-anon2019/04/17 11:10 AM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 07:23 PM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:32 PM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationNoSpammer2019/04/17 03:50 AM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/17 09:24 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/17 09:44 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDoug S2019/04/17 10:28 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 07:36 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 08:55 AM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 11:24 AM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationaaron spink2019/04/18 11:42 AM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 12:07 PM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 02:32 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 03:32 PM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 03:41 PM
                          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/19 01:53 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:14 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:42 PM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/28 05:52 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationPiedPiper2019/04/18 07:33 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/19 02:03 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/19 06:50 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationaaron spink2019/04/19 07:25 AM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 08:40 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationjames2019/04/18 10:13 AM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 11:39 AM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationaaron spink2019/04/18 11:46 AM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 03:22 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:34 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 09:48 PM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDoug S2019/04/18 02:33 PM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationsleep2019/04/18 06:38 PM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:27 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationsleep2019/04/21 03:07 AM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/28 05:54 PM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/17 11:48 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 07:46 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 09:05 AM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 11:51 AM
                Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 02:50 PM
                  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 03:16 PM
                    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationAaron Spink2019/04/18 03:36 PM
                      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/19 01:57 AM
                        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 02:18 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/17 12:13 PM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationanon2019/04/18 08:07 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 03:03 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/19 07:40 AM
          Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/19 08:29 AM
            Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationwumpus2019/04/19 05:38 PM
              Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationSimon Farnsworth2019/04/20 02:02 AM
        Why are you assuming it will even have an optical drive?Doug S2019/04/19 10:53 AM
          Why are you assuming it will even have an optical drive?Jukka Larja2019/04/19 12:19 PM
            Why are you assuming it will even have an optical drive?David Hess2019/04/20 08:45 PM
          the source article...blue2019/04/20 05:50 AM
            the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 07:29 AM
              the source article...wumpus2019/04/20 08:48 AM
                the source article...aaron spink2019/04/20 08:51 AM
                  the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 11:47 AM
              the source article...Groo2019/04/20 09:36 AM
                the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 12:08 PM
                  the source article...Groo2019/04/20 12:37 PM
                    the source article...Doug S2019/04/21 12:11 AM
                      the source article...Doug S2019/04/21 12:33 AM
                      the source article...Blue2019/04/21 03:30 AM
                        the source article...Doug S2019/04/21 10:08 AM
                          the source article...blue2019/04/23 12:36 AM
                            the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/23 08:27 AM
                              the source article...Brett2019/04/23 11:22 AM
                                the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/23 11:43 AM
                              the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/23 11:55 AM
                                the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/24 01:15 PM
                                  the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/25 05:53 AM
                                    the source article...none2019/04/25 06:14 AM
                                      the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/25 11:32 AM
                                    the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/25 07:06 AM
                                      the source article...anon2019/04/25 09:00 AM
                                        the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/25 12:12 PM
                                          the source article...anon2019/04/26 11:27 AM
                                      the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/25 11:40 AM
                                        the source article...Aaron Spink2019/04/25 12:08 PM
                            the source article...Doug S2019/04/23 10:33 AM
                  the source article...David Hess2019/04/20 08:51 PM
                    the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/20 10:00 PM
                  the source article...gallier22019/04/24 12:01 AM
                    the source article...Jukka Larja2019/04/24 05:25 AM
                the source article...David Hess2019/04/20 08:49 PM
                  the source article...Groo2019/04/21 07:41 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 08:19 PM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJukka Larja2019/04/20 10:15 PM
  Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJose2019/04/17 10:00 PM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJose2019/04/18 03:33 AM
      Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationdmcq2019/04/18 05:30 AM
        Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationJose2019/04/18 10:41 PM
    Wired Exclusive: What to Expect From Sony's Next-Gen PlayStationDavid Hess2019/04/20 09:06 PM
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