the source article...

By: Aaron Spink (aaronspink.delete@this.notearthlink.net), April 25, 2019 7:06 am
Room: Moderated Discussions
Jukka Larja (roskakori2006.delete@this.gmail.com) on April 25, 2019 5:53 am wrote:
> Sure, I think the growth (for both) ended around 2013. Relatively speaking, BD still seems to grow
> against DVD, but absolute sales are dropping. However, I think it would be very stupid for a movie
> studio to stop selling their movies on DVD and BD today. Similarly I'm not nearly as sure as you
> seem to be that it makes sense to release a download only[*] console next year. But that's mostly
> just a question of timing. In few years time I'm sure optical drives will be (mostly) history.
>
That's what long tail basically means. They aren't going to push it, but will be perfectly willing to milk people for all they have.


> What do you mean? New movies are released on UHD all the time. Are you suggesting
> that soon one can buy a DVD player but no longer an UHD player?
>
Major players like Samsung et al have already announced they won't be releasing anymore UHD devices.


> We may have different estimate of the size of that minority, but maybe also magnitude of "minor". There are
> people who will simply buy a competing console or skip buying a new console altogether, if they either can't
> or feel that they can't get the games on disc (or flash) anymore. That's in addition to people who'd be happy
> to pay some more for model with optical drive (and perhaps never use it to install a single game), and skip
> based on that. If those groups are even 10 % of all customers, it seems pretty big hit to take.
>
The trade off even at 10% is well worth it. They take in more than 10% increased revenue on game sales by cutting out most of the middle men. And they save 10% on the console cost by nuking the optical.

> I guess you are suggesting something like download kiosks where
> one can bring her own USB stick and download the game there?
>
For the rare markets were internet isn't viable. Yes. But it will still be rare as you have to get pretty out in the boonies of civilization not to have viable internet.
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